ASSOCIATED PRESS
Added At: 2011-12-09 9:40 AM
Last Updated At: 2011-12-09 9:40 AM
BRUSSELS: European leaders are wrestling over how
much of their sovereignty they are willing to give up in a desperate
attempt to save the ambitious project of continental unity that grew
from the ashes of World War II.
At stake at the summit in Brussels, which began Thursday evening,
is not only the future of the euro, but also the stability of the
global financial system and the balance of power in Europe.
To convince financial markets that Europe's economy-crushing debt
crisis is a one-time event, countries will have to give up significant
powers, such as some decisions on borrowing and spending, to a central
authority.
French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela
Merkel want to convince the other 15 eurozone leaders to agree to a plan
that would require their governments to balance their budgets and
accept automatic sanctions if they don't.
At the same time, the currency bloc's largest economies are being
pushed to commit more money to boost the eurozone's firewalls as the
crisis threatens to pull down Italy and Spain.
The overall plan must be good enough to convince the European
Central Bank to intervene in the government bond markets in a manner
large enough to stop the panic there, said Paul De Grauwe, an economics
professor and EU expert at the Catholic University of Leuven, in
Belgium.
The president of the ECB said the bank currently has no plan to
increase the scale of its bond interventions, which could keep down the
borrowing costs of weak countries like Italy and Spain, as markets had
been hoping. Stocks and the euro fell, while the borrowing rates for
Italy and Spain skyrocketed.
ECB chief Mario Draghi had hinted last week that if governments
agree to tighter budget controls, the central bank might step up
support. Analysts said his comments on Thursday served to keep pressure
on politicians to reach a deal.
Merkel and Sarkozy want to enshrine the tougher budget oversight
in a treaty, either by changing the existing EU treaty or creating a new
one for the 17 eurozone nations that others could opt in to.
An EU official said that in the first hours of the summit,
leaders agreed that national debt brakes should limit their structural
deficits to 0.5 percent of annual economic output. The official was
speaking on condition of anonymity because the talks were ongoing.
The 0.5 percent limit, which could only be exceeded in
exceptional situations or to counteract a recession, is stricter than
the 3 percent cap set out in current EU law.
"Words alone are not believed anymore because too often we did
not live up to our words," Merkel told a rally of fellow European
conservatives in Marseille, France, ahead of the summit.
But huge divisions remain.
Some countries resist the idea of giving up some of their control
over national budgets. Furthermore, the 10 EU countries that don't use
the euro are worried about being left out of important decision-making
if eurozone countries adopt a new treaty of their own.
European Council President Herman Van Rompuy and some smaller
countries that have stuck to the budget rules in the past, meanwhile,
are pushing for much more intrusive powers for European institutions to
essentially take over wayward states' fiscal policies that even France
and Germany are unlikely to accept.
At the same time, the Germans are still opposing an attempt to strengthen the eurozone's crisis firewall.
An early draft of conclusions for the summit, which was seen by
The Associated Press, says that a permanent €500 billion ($670 billion)
bailout fund, which could come into force as soon as July, should not be
diminished by loans already given out by the bloc's existing rescue
fund.
Those commitments, which already include the bailouts for Ireland
and Portugal, could reach around €200 billion once a second rescue for
Greece and loans to other countries to recapitalize banks have been
accounted for.
In addition, Van Rompuy and several other euro states are pushing
for greater help from the International Monetary Fund. Some European
leaders have said that their national central banks could lend money to
the IMF, which could act as a backstop for financially weak eurozone
countries.
An EU diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity before the
summit, said eurozone leaders are likely to agree to give the IMF €150
billion ($200 billion) in bilateral loans to use as a firewall in the
debt crisis.
But officials from other countries dampened expectations that
that deal could be finalized by Friday. The draft conclusions include a
paragraph on increasing IMF resources, but left open the amount.
The money would come from the central banks of the 17 euro nations, not governments, which are already highly indebted.
The diplomat added that eurozone leaders hoped non-eurozone countries would contribute an extra €50 billion ($67 billion).
For France and Germany, however, the primary goal of the summit
is changing the EU treaty in an attempt to make sure that no other debt
crisis can ever happen again. If necessary, they say, the 17-country
eurozone could create its own treaty, which other willing nations could
join.
Such a roundabout solution may be necessary because several
non-euro countries — including the U.K. and Sweden — have warned that
they may block treaty changes.
British Prime Minister David Cameron has said he will defend his
country's interests at the summit and demand safeguards if asked to
amend the EU treaty. Cameron wants concessions to protect London's role
as a global financial center — a demand that is being frowned upon by
France and Germany.
Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte said it is vitally important to include all countries in any new agreement.
"We also have to make sure that we keep the union of the 27
together," Rutte said as he arrived at the summit. "It is not only a
union of the 17 eurozone nations. It is also of the utmost importance
for us that we also keep countries like Britain, Sweden and the Baltics
and Poland united."
Markets have mostly risen since last week on hopes that an
agreement among European governments on the Franco-German plan would
pave the way for the ECB to intervene more aggressively to support
eurozone bond markets.
However, investor optimism was deflated on Wednesday, when a
German government official said it could take up to Christmas to clinch a
deal, and then again on Thursday, when ECB chief Draghi lowered
expectations that the central bank might step in with more help.
An ECB rate cut, and more support for banks to get money flowing
through the banking system were not enough to keep investors happy.
Markets were hit again a few hours later, when a European
regulator said banks have to raise about €115 billion ($154 billion) to
meet a new standard meant to inoculate them lenders against market
turmoil, including bad government debt.
That's about €8 billion ($10.73 billion) more than what the
European Banking Authority previously estimated, and bank stocks around
the continent plummeted.
With so much at stake on the summit's results, U.S. Treasury
Secretary Timothy Geithner was zipping across Europe on a three-day trip
to press the region's leaders to solve their differences.
Reforms to deal with the debt crisis are "vital" but their
implementation will take some time, Geithner said in Milan, where he met
Italy's new Premier Mario Monti.
Secretary of State Hilary Clinton, who was in Brussels, said the
United States was willing to offer assistance. "But we do need a plan to
rally behind, to know the way forward."
