Thursday 2 April 2015

U.S. trade deficit lowest since 2009, ports dispute likely a factor

In World Economy News 02/04/2015

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The U.S. trade deficit in February fell sharply to its lowest level since 2009, likely as a labor dispute at one of the country’s main ports depressed both imports and exports.
But the smaller deficit, which could see economists raise their first-quarter growth estimates, is probably temporary given a stronger dollar and weaker global demand.
The Commerce Department said on Thursday the trade deficit narrowed 16.9 percent to $35.4 billion, the smallest since October 2009.
January’s shortfall on the trade balance was revised to $42.7 billion from a previously reported $41.8 billion.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the trade deficit slipping to $41.2 billion.
When adjusted for inflation, the deficit narrowed to $50.8 billion in February from $54.6 billion the prior month.
The now-settled labor dispute at the West Coast ports appears to have slowed the flow of imports and exports. The strong dollar, weak global demand as well as lower crude oil prices also likely impacted the trade balance in February.
While the smaller trade deficit is positive for gross domestic product, it does little to change views that economic growth slowed sharply in the first quarter.
Growth estimates range between a 0.6 percent and 1.7 percent annual pace. The economy grew at a 2.2 percent pace in the fourth quarter.
In February, imports tumbled 4.4 percent to $221.7 billion, the lowest since April 2011. Imports of petroleum products were the lowest since September 2004.
Exports fell 1.6 percent to $186.2 billion in February, the smallest since October 2012.
Exports to Canada and Mexico – the main U.S. trading partners – fell in February. Exports to China tumbled 8.9 percent, while those to the European Union were unchanged.
Imports from China plunged 18.1 percent, pushing the politically sensitive U.S.-China trade deficit down 21.2 percent to $22.5 billion.

Source: Reuters (Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Andrea Ricci)